News analysis

BN may win Johor easily, but a bigger political shake-up could be brewing

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Flags of Barisan Nasional, Pakatan Harapan and Parti Bersama Malaysia seen in Stulang during Johor campaigning.

Flags of Barisan Nasional, Pakatan Harapan and Parti Bersama Malaysia seen in Stulang during Johor campaigning.

ST PHOTO: ARIFFIN JAMAR

  • Up to 2.7 million Johoreans will vote on July 11 in a crucial state election that could deeply realign Malaysia's national political landscape.
  • The 2026 election pits BN against Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim's Pakatan Harapan, changing the dynamic from 2022 and making BN less able to dictate national election timing.
  • The election tests Malay Muslim unity, with PAS supporting BN to block PH, potentially reshaping coalition alliances ahead of the 16th general election (GE16).

AI generated

Up to 2.7 million Johoreans will cast their votes as polling centres open on the morning of July 11. It is a culmination of a two-week campaign that has been pregnant with meaning, not just for the southernmost state, but also Malaysia’s political landscape as a whole.

Back in 2022, Malaysia’s two ruling coalitions also clashed at the Johor state polls. A huge Barisan Nasional (BN) victory in the state then saw the UMNO-led pact call a snap federal election a year before Parliament was to expire in 2023.

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